I vividly remember when Taco Bell used a Chihuahua as a spokes(dog). Very cute commercial. Super cute dog. And the commercial impact was successful. And as you might imagine a massive number of people went out and got a chihuahua. A short while later reports came in of abandonment and abuse. This is no different.
Good news. Sadly too late for the thousands of children who already transitioned. I also expect that nobody will ever be held accountable for ruining so many young lives.
You should not expect that. We have television footage of Marci Bowers chopping off the penis of a young gay boy. There is no taking back what they did and what they said about it, often in print, often for cameras. Life is long and prison awaits quite a few medical practitioners.
Considering the amount of neuroticism, parent and child, required for "treatment," it may be a good thing if some were sterilized. "Three generations of nuts are enough." I'm heartless, I know. What fad will they find to top this one?
(The graph is a late-2024 "moment-in-time" snapshot, as best I can tell, showing the entirety of the Harvard Cooperative Election Study data collected between late-September and about late-November 2024. Sorted to ages of people responding to that one survey, late-2024, only.)
It matters what the exact timing is of the sample-data (and this IS 'sample' data never purporting to be 'population' data) because of the talk about how the 2024 Election was decided.
The election tipped to Trump due to a general social-level turn against Wokeness (probably underway already by 2023), and in one-liner distilled form it was pegged to Kamala's kackled support for "transgender surgeries for illegal immigrants in prison." Famously, the most vote-changing ad was "She's for They/Them. Trump is for you." Transgenderism (supposedly) past its peak among late-teenagers by late 2024 is interesting, if true. But how sure are we it's true?
-- It'd be nice if the graph had showed exact birth-years more clearly. The viewer has to do a bit of work to see the peak birth-years for Transgender identification are (apparently) b.2000, b.2001, and b.2002; and the peak-year for Nonbinary is b.2001.
-- The big visual fall-off at the right tail of the graph apparently depends ENTIRELY on the birth-year cohort b.2006 (turned age 18 by late-2024). Remove the b.2006 cohort and we no longer really see a fall-off as such. We see a peak and a stopping of growth. But how high could Transgenderism ever really have gone?
-- Any little methodological problem for that single age-bracket would lead to completely misleading results ---- remembering that this is 'sample' data and not 'population' data. Graph-maker Jean Twenge's result should be treated with caution. Any such problem would also taint the "2021 to 2024, 18-to-22-year-olds" graph and its apparent fall-off in 2024.
I would watch "Transmania" at least until it had to start recycling plots. I still think autogynephilic men and pedophilic groomers had some effect in pushing this ideology upon impressionable young people.
Maybe if more of their wives have the courage to humiliate and ditch them publicly, their invasion of female spaces denied, and Lesbians spurn them, full transition will become less common, but shoving them back into the transvestite closet seems unlikely.
Not a fad! I see that’s not Steve Sailer explicitly saying that, but over the last couple of years that’s the way I believe he thinks about it. (...)
If the Deep State Globalists were still at the helm through Kameltoe or whomever, they’d still be pushing this trannie stuff to the limit. Trump has made it known that we all know it’s evil and the kind of stupidity made to humiliate us. MAGA and most of the public are no longer afraid to say that “The Emperess had no clothes, so we can see he’s still got a dick.”
I have to admit that the entire trans thing sends me into a rage. It’s the most obvious bullshit manufactured phenomena I can think of, huge numbers of people latched onto it, and I know several people ensnared by it that has caused massive damage to them, or kids, or personal relationships. In terms of what I would want to happen to all the enablers I cannot say openly, only that the Taliban is way to my left when it comes to punishment.
I know what you mean. I've got close friends whose daughter is still enmeshed in the madness, and it's heartbreaking to see.
Even if there are fewer new riders on the trans-it train, there are still plenty on board. I pray that many of them will turn back to sanity in the coming years.
It would be a great mercy if a more visible ex-trans movement were to start gaining momentum at this point in tandem with the reduction in new cases. But those are stories the establishment will do almost anything to suppress.
Have a friend whose kid is in the same situation, his ex wife is fully supportive of this madness. The kid just looks like a skinny young man trying to look like a girl, which he is, although he’s had “feminization” surgery and hormones. It will all end in massive regret and bigger mental health problems than he already had.
As you say, there are huge numbers of people that will try to suppress what has taken place even when the human toll is undeniable. Along with that will be tens of thousands of parents who will have to grapple with what they helped do to their child, and that will be almost impossible to live with.
We don't need the Taliban. We need a civilized criminal legal process that sends practitioner after practitioner to prison for long terms. I personally think we are going to get it, too. If I were Marci Bowers or Sidhbh Gallagher I'd be looking to buy a homestead in Paraguay, some place that doesn't have extradition.
Are biological boys driving the Trans/Non-Binary decline?
Someone is saying the aggregate Non-binary / Transgender fall-off --- to the extent it's real, with the born-mid-2000s cohort receding back to born-late-1990s levels, leaving the born-early-2000s cohort as Peak Transgender) --- that it's driven entirely by biological males jumping off the Trans Train.
The number of biological-girls still on the Trans-and-Non-Binary Train, this claim goes, still shows little or no fall-off for born-mid-2000s girls.
And let us keep in mind that there are heterosexual reasons to identify as trans. There was a documentary on the subject back when I was in college: "Porky's."
My 21 year old son’s ex girlfriend came out as lesbian. Later found out the other girl was a guy. I made a point to stress to my son that meant she really wasn’t gay. Found out earlier this year in discussion she was no longer a lesbian. Her boyfriend came out as a man. True love trumps trans. What they’ve done to young people is criminal.
“Stupidest” is the word for it. This trend probably had the greatest disconnect between what was being shoved down our throats by ideologues vs. what we saw with our own lying eyes, out of all the absurd mantras of the Great Awokening.
Steve - column idea for you. Rank and plot all the Woke policies in order of 1) detachment from reality and 2) harm to society. Something like “affirmative action for NAMs in Silicon Valley” would be a pretty low on both while Transmania would be very high on both. Others to evaluate would be cashless bail, early parole, free needles for the homeless, cultural appropriation, open borders, marches for Hamas, etc.
A great candidate for your list is the intentional procurement of the world's most unassimilable 'asylum seekers', and their subsequent placement in American subcultures in which they can do the most harm. The epitome of this is Tim Walz's Minnesota Miracle, i.e. the loss of hundreds of millions of nice naive MN taxpayer dollars to ludicrously crude scams run by the state's vibrant and enriching Somalian community. Powerline have documented this thoroughly over the years.
And although it's a bit apples-and-oranges, it would be good to mix in some environmentalist madness as well -- net zero, EVs, ghastly windmills and solar emplacements blighting landscapes and slaughtering wildlife, and so on. These policies may not have such intense personal impacts, but the harm they do is broad-based and pervasive.
> Rank and plot all the Woke policies in order of 1) detachment from reality and 2) harm to society. <
It's "immigration!" and "open borders" in a blowout. Trans might be equally "detached" but in harm it's a relative nothing burger.
Let's say trans can whack out 5-10% of a generation--mostly of the most BPD girls (genes we don't need in the pool) and some gay boys (who are useless anyway). You lose maybe a few percent of your useful breeding potential. And in a decade or two the fad dies--and people are actually more level headed for the experience.
In contrast, a decade or two of importing young adults at even a tiny 1-2% of your breeding population and you have radically f'd up you society--*** permanently ***.
Immigration and fertility are what matters. And fertility decline you can bounce back and recover from. Immigration silliness is what is destroying the West.
The Trump administration told colleges that they couldn’t discriminate using DEI. Thus, trans is now less of an advantage for white kids to avoid discrimination. That’s your answer. Most of the “trans kids” (mostly subconsciously, I imagine) just wanted a leg up in the system that isn’t there anymore. Voila — fewer trans kids. The psycho moms pushing trans on their kids were/are real, but the system of favoritism (however brief) for trans was a lot of the problem. Fads are defined by some form of perceived advantage.
The data is from late 2024 before Trump was in power, so if the data behind the graph is right then the hard-form of your theory cannot be right. (i.e., the turn against Wokeness / Transgendenderism considerably predates January 20, 2025)
Fair point, I did not notice that. Having a teenager, though, I have been observing trends on a micro level. Not statistically significant, of course, but the trend around me seems pretty clear. Peak trans was 2023 or so for the kids in my area, which is very liberal but not completely crazy.
I’m pleased to report a significant decline in the proportion of my e-mail correspondents who feel obligated to display their preferred pronouns after their name. I would estimate a reduction of approximately 62% year-on-year.
That's more impressive than it sounds at first because changing your email signature requires conscious effort. You have to decide, then figure out how to do it on the current version of your email program.
Also, people will notice that you did it, since work emails tend to go to a consistent group of cohorts. So it does take a modicum of "courage" if one can call it that, or more likely the realization that the zeitgeist has so changed that courage is not required. So people feel comfortable signaling publicly, "Yeah, I'm not on that train anymore."
I think at my work it would go over fine. When all that was going on everyone gave a complete non-response to any time it was brought up. There was one guy, a leader of a department who enthusiastically raised some issue about healthcare for trans patients (you know, healthy people who identify as patients) and was met with silence.
Everyone being remote is extremely helpful for the sane people. If the cameras are off you just claim mute button.
Maybe do a search for people in marketing and see how the pronouns are. I don't know if the wayback machine works for LinkedIn but if it does that could be a good comp.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (born Oct 1989, recently turned 36) added her pronouns ("she/her") to her Twitter-bio in mid-October 2019. She removed those pronouns about one week after the November 2024 presidential election.
AOC had entered public life in June 2018. (That was when she won the Democratic primary for a US Congress seat as a Cool-Diversity candidate, famously defeating a long-established White male. She has many traces of narcissistic personality disorder, but floated along for being a young-female and a Cool-Diversity person.)
AOC has been in public life for 7 years, 4 months (June 2018 to present). She had no "declared pronouns" in Twitter (that important venue of narcissistic-supply for people like her) for her first 1 year, 4 months. She DID have her pronouns displayed for a period amounting to 5 years, 1 month (mid-October 2019 to mid-November 2024). She's been without declared pronouns now for 11 months (mid-November 2024 to present)
AOC's pronouns track well with the peak-period for Transgenderism, or perhaps Wokeness generally. She herself is pretty clearly a direct product of the Wokeness tenor of the times, and probably wouldn't have been elected in any other Congressional-wave than 2018 (maybe also 2020).
As for age-, experience-, and/or life-station cohorts: AOC graduated from high school in June 2007 (in Westchester County, NY, in a 90%-White community); and Boston University in May 2011. Seven years after graduating from college she entered public life as a fluke Diversity-entry and frivolous social-media-like celebrity entering the U.S. Congress.
AOC's school days are certainly too early to have been influenced by the Transgender Wave, which only really began a few years after she was out. That could be why she only got around to Declaring her Pronouns in October 2019.
A version of AOC (narcissistic, exhibitionist, bread-slathered-in-Wokeness-butter person) who was just five years younger (b.1994 instead of b.1989) might have been committed to the Trans Cause noticeably earlier, and perhaps later; certainly so for a version of this person born ten years later (b.1999 instead of b.1989) --- except that a b.1999 version of AOC simply would've been too common and wouldn't ever have percolated up, being far too young for the 2018 election-wave which was her opening.
Right. I want somebody else to do the work. Are there any AIs that are good at mining data? I've used ChatGPT, but it tends to get lazier. Like if I ask for the numbers for all 50 states, it starts adding 5 at a time hoping I will get bored and go do it myself.
I think you're going to see a mass disappearing of such data, similar to the disappearing of crime and justice related data. I have been tracking crime rates, sentencing, and academic studies on incarceration for 25 years. For a long time, access to these subjects was becoming much more difficult, but, suddenly, in the last very few months, it has become impossible. I think AI is speeding the disappearing of any data, study, or viewpoint contrary to the most leftist views. I've done searches I could do just a few months ago, and all I get are scores and scores of subjective and hard-left "academic" papers, many funded by the HHS and most published by SAGE, which publishes more than 1,000 academic journals, plus academic books. They're the largest academic publishing house in the social sciences and identity fields. The speed of this change and absolute disappearance of any alternative viewpoint, even from very "respectable" sources such as City Journal, has been staggering. And I'm hard to shock, having spent years in academia. It's suddenly a completely different internet. I can change the query or platform and its everywhere. This is Stalin-level censorship.
Academia, including legal and medical faculty, will be flooded with pro-trans activists for decades, if not forever, as they take over hiring committees. For one example, in the most recent JAMA Pediatrics journal, two of 17 articles were about trans children from pro-trans viewpoints. I've seen higher percentages. The same is true of law faculty publications. Then there are scores of nonprofits driving the narrative, many also funded by the government, though Trump is fighting this. Then there's stand-alone committees in universities, such as the Trans Youth Project at Princeton. It's a giant, very wealthy, propaganda churning machine.
To see the money spent on just one researcher, see Kristina Olson at Princeton. She alone received millions in trans research grants. Look at the list on her vitae. We were directly or indirectly the source of millions in grants, all current ones cancelled by Trump in 2025.
I follow a Substack where the author tracks and reports occurrences of phrases like “pregnant people.” She reports that they’re getting harder to find.
No hard statistics but it’s encouraging. Peak trans has past.
I think you meant Sydney, not “ Sidney”, speaking as one who grew up in Sydney. Also North Shore, not “ inner harbour”
You 'think'? Oh, you Aussies are so direct.
No, we are quite English in some respects
Thanks.
Decisive chud victory.
I vividly remember when Taco Bell used a Chihuahua as a spokes(dog). Very cute commercial. Super cute dog. And the commercial impact was successful. And as you might imagine a massive number of people went out and got a chihuahua. A short while later reports came in of abandonment and abuse. This is no different.
Also a bad dog purchase is painful for 10 years. Transitioning at 16 and detransitioning at 19 will be painful for the next 80 years.
Sure. No doubt. But one can get rid of a bad dog purchase immediately. And many do.
Sitcom could be titled "Transmania Devils".
Good news. Sadly too late for the thousands of children who already transitioned. I also expect that nobody will ever be held accountable for ruining so many young lives.
You should not expect that. We have television footage of Marci Bowers chopping off the penis of a young gay boy. There is no taking back what they did and what they said about it, often in print, often for cameras. Life is long and prison awaits quite a few medical practitioners.
Let the lawsuits begin.
Considering the amount of neuroticism, parent and child, required for "treatment," it may be a good thing if some were sterilized. "Three generations of nuts are enough." I'm heartless, I know. What fad will they find to top this one?
You should hold the parents and doctors responsible if we're talking about minors.
Here is a re-labelling of the birth-year graph to make clearer, at a glance, what (more of "when") it's showing:
https://hailtoyou.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/us-adults-identifying-as-transgender-or-nonbinary-by-birth-year-in-2024-jean-twenge-cooperative-election-study.png
(The graph is a late-2024 "moment-in-time" snapshot, as best I can tell, showing the entirety of the Harvard Cooperative Election Study data collected between late-September and about late-November 2024. Sorted to ages of people responding to that one survey, late-2024, only.)
It matters what the exact timing is of the sample-data (and this IS 'sample' data never purporting to be 'population' data) because of the talk about how the 2024 Election was decided.
The election tipped to Trump due to a general social-level turn against Wokeness (probably underway already by 2023), and in one-liner distilled form it was pegged to Kamala's kackled support for "transgender surgeries for illegal immigrants in prison." Famously, the most vote-changing ad was "She's for They/Them. Trump is for you." Transgenderism (supposedly) past its peak among late-teenagers by late 2024 is interesting, if true. But how sure are we it's true?
-- It'd be nice if the graph had showed exact birth-years more clearly. The viewer has to do a bit of work to see the peak birth-years for Transgender identification are (apparently) b.2000, b.2001, and b.2002; and the peak-year for Nonbinary is b.2001.
-- The big visual fall-off at the right tail of the graph apparently depends ENTIRELY on the birth-year cohort b.2006 (turned age 18 by late-2024). Remove the b.2006 cohort and we no longer really see a fall-off as such. We see a peak and a stopping of growth. But how high could Transgenderism ever really have gone?
-- Any little methodological problem for that single age-bracket would lead to completely misleading results ---- remembering that this is 'sample' data and not 'population' data. Graph-maker Jean Twenge's result should be treated with caution. Any such problem would also taint the "2021 to 2024, 18-to-22-year-olds" graph and its apparent fall-off in 2024.
I would watch "Transmania" at least until it had to start recycling plots. I still think autogynephilic men and pedophilic groomers had some effect in pushing this ideology upon impressionable young people.
Those men are here to stay.
Maybe if more of their wives have the courage to humiliate and ditch them publicly, their invasion of female spaces denied, and Lesbians spurn them, full transition will become less common, but shoving them back into the transvestite closet seems unlikely.
I agree.
From Achmed E. Newman:
___________
(QUOTE)
Not a fad! I see that’s not Steve Sailer explicitly saying that, but over the last couple of years that’s the way I believe he thinks about it. (...)
If the Deep State Globalists were still at the helm through Kameltoe or whomever, they’d still be pushing this trannie stuff to the limit. Trump has made it known that we all know it’s evil and the kind of stupidity made to humiliate us. MAGA and most of the public are no longer afraid to say that “The Emperess had no clothes, so we can see he’s still got a dick.”
(END QUOTE)
__________
.
I have to admit that the entire trans thing sends me into a rage. It’s the most obvious bullshit manufactured phenomena I can think of, huge numbers of people latched onto it, and I know several people ensnared by it that has caused massive damage to them, or kids, or personal relationships. In terms of what I would want to happen to all the enablers I cannot say openly, only that the Taliban is way to my left when it comes to punishment.
I know what you mean. I've got close friends whose daughter is still enmeshed in the madness, and it's heartbreaking to see.
Even if there are fewer new riders on the trans-it train, there are still plenty on board. I pray that many of them will turn back to sanity in the coming years.
It would be a great mercy if a more visible ex-trans movement were to start gaining momentum at this point in tandem with the reduction in new cases. But those are stories the establishment will do almost anything to suppress.
Have a friend whose kid is in the same situation, his ex wife is fully supportive of this madness. The kid just looks like a skinny young man trying to look like a girl, which he is, although he’s had “feminization” surgery and hormones. It will all end in massive regret and bigger mental health problems than he already had.
As you say, there are huge numbers of people that will try to suppress what has taken place even when the human toll is undeniable. Along with that will be tens of thousands of parents who will have to grapple with what they helped do to their child, and that will be almost impossible to live with.
> Have a friend whose kid is in the same situation, his ex wife is fully supportive of this madness. <
Sorry to hear about your friend, Boulevardier. At least he got the "ex" part right.
It was always the moms.
We don't need the Taliban. We need a civilized criminal legal process that sends practitioner after practitioner to prison for long terms. I personally think we are going to get it, too. If I were Marci Bowers or Sidhbh Gallagher I'd be looking to buy a homestead in Paraguay, some place that doesn't have extradition.
Are biological boys driving the Trans/Non-Binary decline?
Someone is saying the aggregate Non-binary / Transgender fall-off --- to the extent it's real, with the born-mid-2000s cohort receding back to born-late-1990s levels, leaving the born-early-2000s cohort as Peak Transgender) --- that it's driven entirely by biological males jumping off the Trans Train.
The number of biological-girls still on the Trans-and-Non-Binary Train, this claim goes, still shows little or no fall-off for born-mid-2000s girls.
Is this true?
And let us keep in mind that there are heterosexual reasons to identify as trans. There was a documentary on the subject back when I was in college: "Porky's."
My 21 year old son’s ex girlfriend came out as lesbian. Later found out the other girl was a guy. I made a point to stress to my son that meant she really wasn’t gay. Found out earlier this year in discussion she was no longer a lesbian. Her boyfriend came out as a man. True love trumps trans. What they’ve done to young people is criminal.
What a confusing story. Not your fault just the nature of trying to describe this stuff.
Lucky escape for your son, no matter how painful in the short run.
“Stupidest” is the word for it. This trend probably had the greatest disconnect between what was being shoved down our throats by ideologues vs. what we saw with our own lying eyes, out of all the absurd mantras of the Great Awokening.
Steve - column idea for you. Rank and plot all the Woke policies in order of 1) detachment from reality and 2) harm to society. Something like “affirmative action for NAMs in Silicon Valley” would be a pretty low on both while Transmania would be very high on both. Others to evaluate would be cashless bail, early parole, free needles for the homeless, cultural appropriation, open borders, marches for Hamas, etc.
A great candidate for your list is the intentional procurement of the world's most unassimilable 'asylum seekers', and their subsequent placement in American subcultures in which they can do the most harm. The epitome of this is Tim Walz's Minnesota Miracle, i.e. the loss of hundreds of millions of nice naive MN taxpayer dollars to ludicrously crude scams run by the state's vibrant and enriching Somalian community. Powerline have documented this thoroughly over the years.
And although it's a bit apples-and-oranges, it would be good to mix in some environmentalist madness as well -- net zero, EVs, ghastly windmills and solar emplacements blighting landscapes and slaughtering wildlife, and so on. These policies may not have such intense personal impacts, but the harm they do is broad-based and pervasive.
> Rank and plot all the Woke policies in order of 1) detachment from reality and 2) harm to society. <
It's "immigration!" and "open borders" in a blowout. Trans might be equally "detached" but in harm it's a relative nothing burger.
Let's say trans can whack out 5-10% of a generation--mostly of the most BPD girls (genes we don't need in the pool) and some gay boys (who are useless anyway). You lose maybe a few percent of your useful breeding potential. And in a decade or two the fad dies--and people are actually more level headed for the experience.
In contrast, a decade or two of importing young adults at even a tiny 1-2% of your breeding population and you have radically f'd up you society--*** permanently ***.
Immigration and fertility are what matters. And fertility decline you can bounce back and recover from. Immigration silliness is what is destroying the West.
The Trump administration told colleges that they couldn’t discriminate using DEI. Thus, trans is now less of an advantage for white kids to avoid discrimination. That’s your answer. Most of the “trans kids” (mostly subconsciously, I imagine) just wanted a leg up in the system that isn’t there anymore. Voila — fewer trans kids. The psycho moms pushing trans on their kids were/are real, but the system of favoritism (however brief) for trans was a lot of the problem. Fads are defined by some form of perceived advantage.
The data is from late 2024 before Trump was in power, so if the data behind the graph is right then the hard-form of your theory cannot be right. (i.e., the turn against Wokeness / Transgendenderism considerably predates January 20, 2025)
Fair point, I did not notice that. Having a teenager, though, I have been observing trends on a micro level. Not statistically significant, of course, but the trend around me seems pretty clear. Peak trans was 2023 or so for the kids in my area, which is very liberal but not completely crazy.
The Students v. Harvard decision, effectively ending DEI, was mid-2023. Transmania crested then crashed immediately after.
What's a publicly available data source to measure whether the aligned pronoun fad is also dying out?
I’m pleased to report a significant decline in the proportion of my e-mail correspondents who feel obligated to display their preferred pronouns after their name. I would estimate a reduction of approximately 62% year-on-year.
That's more impressive than it sounds at first because changing your email signature requires conscious effort. You have to decide, then figure out how to do it on the current version of your email program.
Also, people will notice that you did it, since work emails tend to go to a consistent group of cohorts. So it does take a modicum of "courage" if one can call it that, or more likely the realization that the zeitgeist has so changed that courage is not required. So people feel comfortable signaling publicly, "Yeah, I'm not on that train anymore."
I think at my work it would go over fine. When all that was going on everyone gave a complete non-response to any time it was brought up. There was one guy, a leader of a department who enthusiastically raised some issue about healthcare for trans patients (you know, healthy people who identify as patients) and was met with silence.
Everyone being remote is extremely helpful for the sane people. If the cameras are off you just claim mute button.
It will be forever seared into my brain who did it, though.
Maybe posers posting their pronouns on LinkedIn
Maybe do a search for people in marketing and see how the pronouns are. I don't know if the wayback machine works for LinkedIn but if it does that could be a good comp.
Data-point:
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (born Oct 1989, recently turned 36) added her pronouns ("she/her") to her Twitter-bio in mid-October 2019. She removed those pronouns about one week after the November 2024 presidential election.
AOC had entered public life in June 2018. (That was when she won the Democratic primary for a US Congress seat as a Cool-Diversity candidate, famously defeating a long-established White male. She has many traces of narcissistic personality disorder, but floated along for being a young-female and a Cool-Diversity person.)
AOC has been in public life for 7 years, 4 months (June 2018 to present). She had no "declared pronouns" in Twitter (that important venue of narcissistic-supply for people like her) for her first 1 year, 4 months. She DID have her pronouns displayed for a period amounting to 5 years, 1 month (mid-October 2019 to mid-November 2024). She's been without declared pronouns now for 11 months (mid-November 2024 to present)
AOC's pronouns track well with the peak-period for Transgenderism, or perhaps Wokeness generally. She herself is pretty clearly a direct product of the Wokeness tenor of the times, and probably wouldn't have been elected in any other Congressional-wave than 2018 (maybe also 2020).
As for age-, experience-, and/or life-station cohorts: AOC graduated from high school in June 2007 (in Westchester County, NY, in a 90%-White community); and Boston University in May 2011. Seven years after graduating from college she entered public life as a fluke Diversity-entry and frivolous social-media-like celebrity entering the U.S. Congress.
AOC's school days are certainly too early to have been influenced by the Transgender Wave, which only really began a few years after she was out. That could be why she only got around to Declaring her Pronouns in October 2019.
A version of AOC (narcissistic, exhibitionist, bread-slathered-in-Wokeness-butter person) who was just five years younger (b.1994 instead of b.1989) might have been committed to the Trans Cause noticeably earlier, and perhaps later; certainly so for a version of this person born ten years later (b.1999 instead of b.1989) --- except that a b.1999 version of AOC simply would've been too common and wouldn't ever have percolated up, being far too young for the 2018 election-wave which was her opening.
That's an excellent case study; thanks much.
Twitter bios?
They're a good raw source, but you have to do all the tabulation yourself, making them difficult to use.
Right. I want somebody else to do the work. Are there any AIs that are good at mining data? I've used ChatGPT, but it tends to get lazier. Like if I ask for the numbers for all 50 states, it starts adding 5 at a time hoping I will get bored and go do it myself.
I think you're going to see a mass disappearing of such data, similar to the disappearing of crime and justice related data. I have been tracking crime rates, sentencing, and academic studies on incarceration for 25 years. For a long time, access to these subjects was becoming much more difficult, but, suddenly, in the last very few months, it has become impossible. I think AI is speeding the disappearing of any data, study, or viewpoint contrary to the most leftist views. I've done searches I could do just a few months ago, and all I get are scores and scores of subjective and hard-left "academic" papers, many funded by the HHS and most published by SAGE, which publishes more than 1,000 academic journals, plus academic books. They're the largest academic publishing house in the social sciences and identity fields. The speed of this change and absolute disappearance of any alternative viewpoint, even from very "respectable" sources such as City Journal, has been staggering. And I'm hard to shock, having spent years in academia. It's suddenly a completely different internet. I can change the query or platform and its everywhere. This is Stalin-level censorship.
Academia, including legal and medical faculty, will be flooded with pro-trans activists for decades, if not forever, as they take over hiring committees. For one example, in the most recent JAMA Pediatrics journal, two of 17 articles were about trans children from pro-trans viewpoints. I've seen higher percentages. The same is true of law faculty publications. Then there are scores of nonprofits driving the narrative, many also funded by the government, though Trump is fighting this. Then there's stand-alone committees in universities, such as the Trans Youth Project at Princeton. It's a giant, very wealthy, propaganda churning machine.
To see the money spent on just one researcher, see Kristina Olson at Princeton. She alone received millions in trans research grants. Look at the list on her vitae. We were directly or indirectly the source of millions in grants, all current ones cancelled by Trump in 2025.
I follow a Substack where the author tracks and reports occurrences of phrases like “pregnant people.” She reports that they’re getting harder to find.
No hard statistics but it’s encouraging. Peak trans has past.