What Do You Think About the Iran War?

Beats me. What's your opinion? (Not paywalled)

I’m not particularly good at predicting the outcome of Trump’s adventures abroad because Trump seldom acts out of a long-term ideology, the way that George W. Bush’s 2003 Iraq War was based on a neoconservative consensus that had emerged over the years, giving me plenty of time to study and evaluate it.

Similarly, I did a good job of recognizing the Great Awokening and predicting where it was headed and why it would fail. I’d spent years articulating How the World Works and how, if you can’t tolerate admitting that, then you end up subscribing to Ibram X. Kendism. Which is exactly what happened, with dire consequences that were easily predictable (by me).

Trump’s foreign policy, in contrast, is more opportunist. So, he’s less likely to make predictable mistakes for ideological reasons. But is he more likely to make unpredictable mistakes?

What are your thoughts?